Posts Tagged ‘Colts’

Ush goes perfect on picks this week, getting to 7-1 on the playoffs. Check out his predictions from last Thursday here Divisional Picks

Here is an excerpt from that post:

USH (3-1 in the playoffs)

Seahawks over Saints

With the potential of HEAVY rains in Seattle Saturday, I’m taking the home team. The weather will affect Drew Brees, and although the running game for the Saints has been much improved the last few weeks, I think that the Seattle defense will be able to contain it without the threat that the NO passing game brings in a good weather game. I also think that the Eagles laid the blueprint for containing Jimmy Graham which is to be physical with him early and often. They hit him every chance they could, and it affected him to the tune of only 3 catches for 44 yards. I think that the Seahawks follow the same mold, and lean on beast mode and Russell Wilson’s legs to bring BIG BALLS PETE a chance to host the NFC Championship game.

Pats over Colts

I know we have been pumping up Lord Andrew over and over, and there is no doubt that he can go to Foxboro and get the W. At the end of the day however, I think Aqib Talib matches up on TY Hilton, and Belicheck decides to make the Indy running game beat them. Will I be shocked if Luck gets it done? Not at all, I just don’t think his team is quite good enough to go into New England and beat the Pats. This Pats team is not the Chiefs, and if the Colts start slow like they did last week, the home crowd and multitude of Chiefs errors will not be there to bail them out this week.

Niners over Panthers

Hopefully this game isn’t the snooze fest that the game a couple of weeks ago was. Both defenses are sick, and specifically the linebacking play in this game will be something to see. I see Cam and Kaep as similar QBs in their ability to take over games, I think that Kaep’s weapons are worlds better than Cam’s though. Now that Crabtree is back and Boldin can go back to being the complimentary zone killer that he has made his career on, the 49ers offense is picking up steam. I don’t see Cam’s supporting cast providing enough help to make that the case.

Broncos over Chargers

This one hurts me to say, and I have never hoped to be more wrong on a pick, but I don’t think my Bolts get it done in Denver for the second time in a month. The Bolts won their previous trip here by controlling the ball with a punishing ground game, and keeping the ball out of Peyton’s hands. This is clearly the ticket if they are going to try and pull off the upset again, but I think that Denver will make adjustments based on that previous matchup. For that reason, I think that if the Charger’s are able to pass to set up the run, and get pressure on Peyton early to get his footwork off, they can get it done. I just don’t think it happens. If the Bolts win, I will pick them the rest of the way, hopefully to the tune of my 40-1 Vegas odds I played when the playoffs started.

ATS Picks 15-4-2 last 4 weeks

Colts +8

Chargers +10

Advertisements

Below is the 4th episode of the PT Sports Debate podcast. My apologies on the fact that it is only on the Wild Card recap, we had some computer issues and the second half of the podcast(Divisional round predictions) was never recorded. Hope you guys enjoy the first half at least, and we’ll throw in our divisional round predictions as well.


You can subscribe and follow the podcast here:
PT Sports Debate

Divisional Round

Stiltz (3-1 in the playoffs)

Saturday Games:

Saints over Seahawks

I like the upset this week in Seattle. New Orleans is going to be playing with a lot of confidence after going up to Philly and shutting down that high powered offense. I think the Saints D is going to have another great game, partly because Seattle has had offensive line issues this season. Also, because Seattle really doesn’t have a ton of playmakers on offense. The X factor in this game has to be Percy Harvin, if he can play and do anything Harvinlike in this game the Saints would be in a lot of trouble. Drew Brees didn’t have a great game last week, he needs to play a clean game this week in order for the Saints to win. That means that they need to get that running game GOINGGGG!! Mark Ingram, Robinson, Sproles, and Pierre Thomas(If he plays) need to have another strong day on the ground. For as good as Seattle’s D has been this season, teams have been able to run up the middle on them.  Seattle hasn’t been playing their best ball as of late and they have looked vulnerable up there in Seattle, for once in a loooong time. New Orleans is going to get their revenge from that 31-7 drubbing and playoff loss from a 7-9 Seahawks team led by one Matthew Hasselback!

Colts over Pats

What? He is picking another underdog. The quick response is WHY THE HELL NOT?! It is now basketball season in my house due to the Pack being eliminated and I’m riding the Colts train to the Super Bowl. After that improbable comeback last week in Indy, I don’t know how you can bet against the Colts. They are playing their best football at the end of the year, Andrew the Giant is never phased and the Pats are beatable at home. Let’s face it, this is Tom Brady’s worst season statistically in a loong time. Before you say it’s because he doesn’t have insert WR/TE name here, Brady has put up big numbers without the marquee names at wideout for most of his career. Their offense just doesn’t look that great this year, and if Mathis can be a factor in this game the Pats will fall. Colts are a big underdog and I haven’t heard of many people picking the Colts, I just like this team’s resolve. I think Donald Brown and dare I say it, TRICH!, will have a nice game running the ball on a Pats defense that really can’t stop the run. Pep Hamilton sure as hell would love to run the ball the entire game, and dominate that Time of Possession. I think the Colts will go up to Foxboro this weekend, and make a lot of people believers in this team. One last note, be ready to hear a ridiculous amount of coverage on Luck if this does happen.

Sunday Games:

Niners over Panthers

Another road team? The insanity I tell you. I just watched this Niners team, live, go up to Lambeau and play in the coldest conditions I have ever experienced. They are a tough football team who wants to get back to the Super Bowl. I think they are hungrier than this Carolina team, who have little to no playoff experience. Jim Harbaugh is one of the top three coaches in all of football in my opinion, and I really don’t trust Ron Rivera. Cam Newton has not looked good towards the end of the season, almost like his play in the beginning of the year. Their offense is also lacking a lot of playmakers, the 49ers aren’t going to be worried about too many other guys besides #1. This is going to be a defensive struggle, but I think the Niners will have the better game plan. The X factor will be Michael Crabtree, who wasn’t in this last meeting when the Panthers won in a barn burner 10-9. Crabtree and Kap just have a nice chemistry and makes their offense watchable. Just having Crab out there will open up other wideouts and Vernon Davis. In this scenario, the Niners would then go on to host the NFC Championship against the Saints in what would be the last ever game played at Candlestick park. It would also be a rematch of a 2012 playoff classic!

Before I type it, would you be surprised at this point if I picked another ROOOAAADD DAWWWWGGGG. Warriors come out to play!!!

Chargers over Broncos

I don’t even know why the Broncos play for home field advantage when their style is clearly better suited in warm/dome weather. If you look at all of the games from last weekend, the only high scoring affair was the Colts/Chiefs which occurred indoors. People were saying the Saints/Eagles game was going to produce over 1,000 yards of offense and a ton of points….well it didn’t. This is playoff football, and it is freaking cold outside last time I checked. If it’s cold for a 29 year old who has zero surgeries, I wonder how cold and bothered #18 will be out there after being in the league for over 15 years and having multiple surgeries. I don’t like Peyton in this game, last year his numbers were pedestrian at best. He threw a couple of picks, the Broncos had two Special Teams touchdowns, and he couldn’t seal the game for the team. Granted, they still should have won against the Ravens this Broncos defense is a lot worse than last year’s team. The Chargers have a good offense, and that running game just owned the number 3 Defense in the league in Cincy. You think they are worried about one of the worst run defenses in the league stopping their three headed backfield of Matthews, Brown and Woodhead. I think Mccoy will rely heavily on the run game, and Philip Rivers will put up better number than Peyton. The Chargers winning would wrap up another wild weekend in the NFL, with all four road teams winning. Hey people, the only home team that one last week was the Colts and we all know how that game played out.

Super Bowl prediction right now:

NINERS over Colts

In my scenario, I think the Niners and Colts would advance on to the Super Bowl to battle in out in Jersey. I love the Niners in this matchup in a duel between Andrewson and his Mr. Miyagi(Harbaugh). I really think the Niners are the hottest team in football, one of the best coached teams and most importantly one of the deepest teams in the league. Aldon Smith is back playing like himself, they have all those studs at LB, healthy at the right time and ready to get that 6th Lombardi.

USH (3-1 in the playoffs)

Seahawks over Saints

With the potential of HEAVY rains in Seattle Saturday, I’m taking the home team. The weather will affect Drew Brees, and although the running game for the Saints has been much improved the last few weeks, I think that the Seattle defense will be able to contain it without the threat that the NO passing game brings in a good weather game. I also think that the Eagles laid the blueprint for containing Jimmy Graham which is to be physical with him early and often. They hit him every chance they could, and it affected him to the tune of only 3 catches for 44 yards. I think that the Seahawks follow the same mold, and lean on beast mode and Russell Wilson’s legs to bring BIG BALLS PETE a chance to host the NFC Championship game.

Pats over Colts

I know we have been pumping up Lord Andrew over and over, and there is no doubt that he can go to Foxboro and get the W. At the end of the day however, I think Aqib Talib matches up on TY Hilton, and Belicheck decides to make the Indy running game beat them. Will I be shocked if Luck gets it done? Not at all, I just don’t think his team is quite good enough to go into New England and beat the Pats. This Pats team is not the Chiefs, and if the Colts start slow like they did last week, the home crowd and multitude of Chiefs errors will not be there to bail them out this week.

Niners over Panthers

Hopefully this game isn’t the snooze fest that the game a couple of weeks ago was. Both defenses are sick, and specifically the linebacking play in this game will be something to see. I see Cam and Kaep as similar QBs in their ability to take over games, I think that Kaep’s weapons are worlds better than Cam’s though. Now that Crabtree is back and Boldin can go back to being the complimentary zone killer that he has made his career on, the 49ers offense is picking up steam. I don’t see Cam’s supporting cast providing enough help to make that the case.

Broncos over Chargers

This one hurts me to say, and I have never hoped to be more wrong on a pick, but I don’t think my Bolts get it done in Denver for the second time in a month. The Bolts won their previous trip here by controlling the ball with a punishing ground game, and keeping the ball out of Peyton’s hands. This is clearly the ticket if they are going to try and pull off the upset again, but I think that Denver will make adjustments based on that previous matchup. For that reason, I think that if the Charger’s are able to pass to set up the run, and get pressure on Peyton early to get his footwork off, they can get it done. I just don’t think it happens. If the Bolts win, I will pick them the rest of the way, hopefully to the tune of my 40-1 Vegas odds I played when the playoffs started.

ATS Picks 15-4-2 last 4 weeks

Colts +8

Chargers +10

Andrew Luck has done it again. He overcame 3 picks today to throw for 443 yards and 4 TDs, saving  Stiltz and I who picked the Colts as legitimate Super Bowl contenders and broadcasting to the world to jump on the Colts at 25-1 Super Bowl odds.

From our pretenders/contenders blog

http://wp.me/p4bd61-2V

Stiltz– “Last year they won all the close ones, this year they find ways to come back. They can be dominant on both sides of the ball and I love me some Andrew the giant. Sneaky AFC champ pick here”

Ush- “The Colts might be a surprising pick here, but this is how much I love Andrew Luck. Their defense is underrated, and with the emergence of Donald Brown they have been able to maintain a level of balance that helps Luck dominate. This is my pick for that lower seed to make a super bowl run.

Don’t get on me too hard about the underrated defense, Alex Smith played great today, and that defense sure was laying the hat today. Just good enough.

On another note, Stiltz is on his way to the Green Bay vs Niners game this weekend. This looks like just about my nightmare, as a Chargers fan I would take a warm barstool over watching a game outdoors in that shit any day.

Image

What a start to Wild Card weekend

Here we go from Kansas City, let’s see if the Colts can come out swinging. This couldn’t be a worse matchup for the Colts  in my opinion . Once the Chiefs get a lead they are hard to come back on. Great defense and special teams, plus a running game that wears out a defense. On top of that, the Colts have been terrible in first halves this season and are constantly playing from behind. I wouldn’t be surprised if this game was over by halftime.

First possession for the Colts results in a three and out, thanks to a stingy Chiefs D on 3rd and 1. McCluster with a nice punt return. Chiefs are moving the ball with ease. Jamaal Charles with a beautiful run for the touchdown, wow! 7-0 Chiefs

Colts with another three and out. Luck’s pump fake looks a lot like Big Ben’s, you think it’s almost impossible for them to maintain control of the ball. The Colts don’t really take any chances on offense. It wouldn’t be a big deal if they were able to move the ball with their running game, but that’s not the case. McCluster able to recover the muffed punt, the Colts could have used that.  The Colts D was able to tighten up and force a three and out against the Chiefs. TRich sighting on the Colts third possession of the game. Colts deciding to go with the no huddle and are able to pick up their FIRST first down of the game.

The Colts are are slowly making their way down the field. A horse collar penalty keeps the Colts drive alive on third down. TRich has been hit behind the line of scrimmage on every single one of his attempts so far. Luck nearly intercepted on the 1 yd line by Flowers. Colts settle for the FG, but he pulls it left. 7-0 Chiefs

Couple of uneventful possessions in a row. Griff Whalen, WR for the Colts, refusing to go down. I like the way he’s playing out there. Whalen again making things happen after the catch. Dan Dierdoff is atrocious and I hate listening to his games. There are hundreds of retired players/coaches but very few broadcasters that are bearable to listen to. How is that possible? The Colts finally get on the board with a FG. 7-3 Chiefs

The Chiefs cough up the first turnover of the game, and the Colts capitalize on a long td by Brown off a check down. 10-7 Colts. The Chiefs offense hasn’t done much since the first possession. The Colts able to get a FG off their next possession and push their lead up to 6, 13-7 Colts. The Chiefs are finally able to get the ball done the field right before halftime, but miss a fg. Halftime: 13-7 Colts

The Chiefs pass rush has been non-existent during this game and it’s not what you’d like to see from the Chiefs defense right before the playoffs. If the Chiefs don’t get their pass rush going in the second half, Luck will pick them apart. The Colts have done a good job taking care of the ball, against a Chiefs team that has thrived off turnovers all year. It should be a good second half in KC.

Second half starts well for the Chiefs with a long return by Davis. Robert Mathis forcing a popup ball which is picked off by the Colts. The Colts again making things happen off turnovers, Donald Brown shedding tacklers on the way to a touchdown. 20-7 Colts. This is when Chiefs fans should start to worry. The Chiefs have a hard time coming back against anybody once they’re down by over 10. Let’s see how the Chiefs handle this, maybe they can get the crowd back into this.

Chiefs aren’t able to get anything going and go three and out. The Colts D must smell blood, Bethae has made two enormous hits today on Bowe/Charles. The Chiefs defense really needs to get a turnover to spark this offense/crowd back up.

Trent Richardson must have some sort of record of getting hit behind the line of scrimmage. He does not look explosive at all. A lot of fantasy football owners nodding their heads in agreement to that one. Defensive holding penalty gives the Colts a fresh set of downs. TRich again getting blown up at the line of scrimmage. Between the turnovers and penalties the Chiefs are beating themselves today. The Chiefs still aren’t getting any pressure on Luck, and the drive ends with an incompletion….OR does it, Poe with a taunting penalty to give the Colts 15 yards and a first down. Wow, Reid is laying into Poe as he makes his way off the field. Luckily, Reid’s mustache provides a nice spit flap to keep the damage at a minimum.

The Colts continue to drive down the field and even TRich is getting some yards now. Colts are burning a ton of time off the clock with this drive which can be described as sloppy as best. Brown finally put back into the game and he gets a nice 5 yard carry. Chiefs hoping to hold them to a FG here. Big third down, D Johnson is going to think a lot about this play later. Luck almost threw a pick six to Johnson just now on a little screen to TRich. Colts with a FG to stretch the lead out to 16! 23-7 Colts.

Davis with another big return, the Chiefs need to score quickly.  Let’s see if they are willing to take some shots down the field. If Charles wasn’t tripped up on the 2nd down screen attempt he had a ton of daylight. Third down the Chiefs need to make something happen. Play action, Colts blow it up and get the sack. The fans aren’t happy the Chiefs are lining up to punt. The question with Smith is can he lead his team back from a large deficit, and the answer continues to be NO. This is only a two score game, and a long drive here by the Colts would certainly put it out of reach.

End of the third quarter and it’s 23-7 Colts. Let’s take a quick look at who the Chiefs/Broncos have actually beat this season.  The AFC West ended up having a nice draw with the AFC South/NFC East as the two conferences. Both the Chiefs/Broncos swept the NFC East. The Broncos lost games to the Colts, Patriots, and Chargers. The Chiefs have lost to the Broncos twice, and the Chargers. Neither team beat anybody worth writing home about.

Back to the game, the Colts bringing TRich out for a 3rd and 1 attempt. Of course, he doesn’t get it. I couldn’t think of a worse person to bring out on a third and 1 attempt with how his season has played out. The Chiefs start off their drive with a huge run by Alex Smith. The Chiefs still have a ton of time in this game giving them their opportunity to run the ball which they continue to do. The Chiefs have a nice drive going, and Smith throws a terribly under thrown ball to Fasano. Colts with the interception in the endzone. That’ll do it for the Chiefs comeback.

Whalen continues to make plays after the catch for the Colts. Not only is he picking up first downs but he is staying in bounds and the clock is just melting away. Chiefs able to get a stop, Chiefs really need to get a quick score here if they want to have a chance at winning this game. Chiefs slowly moving the ball down the field, but the drive ends after Smith’s third turnover. Smith’s fumble marks the end of this one. Thanks for coming by during this game. It looks like Ush chose wisely with the Colts. Disregard everything I said about this matchup!